好心人来拍拍吧，第一篇ARGU6
Argument 6:
In this argument, the arguer advocates that to build a jazz music club in Monroe would be a tremendously profitable enterprise with the reason that jazz is extremely popular in Monroe and over 100,000 people attended Monroe's jazz festival last summer as well as several well-known jazz musicians live in Monroe. Moreover, the highest-rated radio program in Monroe is 'Jazz Nightly' which airs every weeknight. What's more, the arguer claims that the nearest jazz club is 65 miles away and he thinks that their proposed club, the C Note, would have the local market all to itself. Finally, the arguer adds that a nationwide study indicates the typical jazz fan spends close to $1,000 per year on jazz entertainment. It seems that this argument is very reasonable. However, to deeply and further analyze this essay, can we find how groundless it is.
First of all, there is no evidence indicating that residents in Monroe like jazz music very much. Although over 100,000 people attended Monroe's jazz festival last summer, that is not mean residents in Monroe is crazy about jazz. Because we cannot equate these people's attendances of the jazz festival with their interests in jazz. Chances are that the festival was first held in Monroe and these people just wondered about what this festival would be. And with curiosities, they went to the festival. What's more, granted that last year people in Monroe were very fond of jazz music, it does not necessarily lead to their fondness of it this year. Moreover, several well-known jazz musicians' living in Monroe has nothing to do with the popularity of jazz music in Monroe. And on the contrary, the fact that the nearest jazz club is 65 miles away from Monroe maybe shows that the lack of popularity of jazz in Monroe.
In the second place, granted that local residents in Monroe are very fond of jazz, it will not necessarily lead to the conclusion that they will go to the jazz club to entertain themselves. They can just listen to it at home or some other clubs which are not jazz club. Furthermore, this argument does not tell us where nationwide jazz fans uses their money in terms of jazz entertainment. Therefore, we cannot make sure that they spend parts of it on going to the jazz club.
Finally, although the market in Monroe is very good for jazz clubs to develop, it does mean that C Note can absolutely make a good profit. The arguer fails to take the cost of building a jazz club into consideration. If either the prices of lands there or the taxes there are very high, I suppose C Note can hardly make much profit. In addition, this argument provides nothing about the future management modes in C Note. And we can assume that their management is very poor. In that case, neither can C Note make much profit.
All in all, the argument is not well reasoned and lack of sufficient evidences to support the arguer's conclusion. To further strengthen it, the arguer should provide enough evidences to prove that residents in Monroe are very fond of jazz and willing to go to a jazz club to enjoy themselves as well as the evidences to show that their management will be very good and the cost of building a club there is not very high. I think, with these evidences, the arguer can finally draw his conclusion.
